A new Politico/Ipsos poll found 32% of independents, including 33% of all voters, say they are less likely to support Trump after his recent conviction in New York. National polls show the race remains very close, with Trump holding a 0.8-point lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics average, though some surveys find Biden pulling ahead slightly. Biden's campaign is airing a new $50 million ad campaign focusing on framing Trump as a "convicted criminal." Polls consistently show that Trump is leading narrowly in crucial swing states, but his lead has declined in some surveys since his conviction.
